Sunday, 16 December 2018

UTMB 2019 - How long will it take me?

After two rejections in the ballot, I am finally in UTMB for 2019. I was curious to see what I had left myself in for and how long I would be out there for. Cut off is 46hr 30 and winning time was 20:44.

I have an ITRA ranking of 495 ( ). You can find yours here ( ). An explanation of the rankings are here:

Back when I reverse engineered the ITRA rankings, I predicted a UTMB finish time of 39 hours based on my ranking (it was 489 back then).

I pulled out the rankings for roughly 100 finishers of the 2018 UTMB. I looked at the XL ranking because a) The 2018 UTMB would be included in the XXL ranking so the prediction would be somewhat circular b) I don't have an XXL ranking

Ranking is reasonable predictive but with quite a lot of variance. The ITRA predictions are pretty good but there are quite a few highly ranked runners who finished much slower than predicted. 

My ranking of 495 would put me roughly in the middle of the finishers in roughly 39 hours. A few important notes:

- I have only looked at the men's results as the women use a slightly different system. I'm sure there is an easy conversion
- I have only looked at finishers. I suspect the drop out rate for lower ranked runners is way lower than mid to high ranked (excluding the elite racers). A better athlete having a bad day might finish in a slow time but the lower ranked runner would be timed out.

It would be interesting to do this analysis if I had the data.

Here is the table form of the results. I only sampled 100 or so. I would need a few more to smooth out the volatility (some higher ranked groups have slower time due to small sample size).

Rank Time Position Percentile
650 34:06 325 18%
625 33:46 332 19%
600 34:12 312 18%
575 36:19 431 24%
550 35:24 399 22%
525 37:05 496 28%
500 39:05 669 38%
475 41:58 1,036 58%
450 43:36 1,260 71%
425 45:06 1,497 84%
400 45:33 1,592 90%
375 45:35 1,614 91%

Tuesday, 30 October 2018

Centurion Autumn 100 race report

Running 100 miles is like a box of chocolates - you never know what you're going to get...

My race season had started with a much better than expected SDW100. I ran it in 21:41 (a 45 minute PB) including a fast finish down "death gulley". KACR145 had gone fairly well too - my 100 mile split was 22:55 which would have been one of my better standalone times for 100 miles. I came into this race with fairly high expectations.

The A100 has the potential for very fast times with the average time of 23:32 the fastest of the 4 races (TP 23:48, SDW 24:02, and NDW 25:43). The average is 30 minutes faster than the SDW and if I could knock 42 minutes off my time, I would scrape under the Spartathlon qualifying time of 21:00.

This was my third time at the A100 with times of 22:41 in 2015 and 23:25 in 2016. It is has 4 out and backs on the Thames and Ridgeway with a central race HQ so it is easy logistically and for navigation.

I booked a hotel in Reading which works well for the Autumn 100. It was quite a bit cheaper than the Goring options and just a short train journey in the morning. It was a big soulless hotel which is ideal before a race. I picked up dinner from the M&S at Paddington station. Normally pre-race dinner is a cheese and onion or egg and cress sandwich but there were slim pickings so it was ham and cheese.
Reading Sunrise

I woke up at about 7am so had plenty of time to get ready and catch the train. My hotel was about 2 minutes walk from the station so I set off just after 8am and was getting off at Goring station by 8:30. There was a snake of people making their way off the train most of whom where part of the race.  
The weather when I left Reading was a lovely morning but it was starting to rain as I was queuing to get into the hall. I was chatting to James Adams who was getting a lot of attention on his much heralded return to the ultra race scene. 

Breakfast of champions
Check in was smooth with Ian Hammett checking my kit and my number was pinned to my shorts. The hall was packed with people and kit so after a few hellos, I went off to find a cafe. There is an excellent one just over the road from race HQ.I went for a flat white and croissant. The cafe was quite busy so I joined a table of runners including Lorna Spayne who is the custodian of the Bad Boy running merchandise.
It was getting toward 10am so it was time for a the pre-race briefing. It was my 10th race briefing and I could almost give the talk myself now. However there are always a couple of gems. 

Firstly James made a point of telling everyone to hydrate well as it was warm, and a warning that bad weather would be coming at 3am to make the last leg unpleasant. There was the usual hands up for first timer and grandslammers. Then it was "hands up for anyone if it is their 197th 100 mile race". The legendary Sandra Brown put her hand up. She has a 100 mile PB of 19:00:47 and has the women's all time second fastest 1,000 mile time (14 days 10 hours 27 mins 20 secs).

We all made our way down to the start. It was a few hundred metres down the trail compared with previous years to allow for a different turnaround point on leg 1. Soon we were off. It was quite narrow at the start so it was slow progress to begin with. If you are desperate to make a fast start, you are probably best watching the briefing from the back of the hall rather than front row like me as I was near the back of the field.

It is a 100 mile race and losing a minute or two at the start is irrelevant. My first mile as 10:59 compared with 9 something without the crowds. The first two or three miles were slow going but I was happy enough to pace myself. I chatted to a few people around me including Roz Glover and James Adams again. I bumped into Macca who I shared a few of the later miles of the SDW with.

Stuart March photography
First aid station came and went with a top up of tailwind and some jelly babies I think. I seemed to be the only person taking walking breaks but was still making up a few places. 

I made it the turnaround point in just under two hours and pretty much on schedule. More tailwind topped up by Hammy and some jelly babies and I was making my way back. (105th place / 1:59)

I hadn't noticed the following wind on the outbound section and now it was quite a stiff headwind. It was warming up and the later half of this section seemed to drag. I made it back to the start in 4:04 and Goring HQ in 4:10. In 2015 and 2016, I had made it here in under 4 hours. I had probably gone off too fast previously so hopefully this year was better pacing.

I first stopped at the gents at Goring and I was a bit dehydrated already. I need to make sure I upped my drinking. I didn't bother with my drop bag and was out reasonably quickly. I didn't realise this at the time, but our Goring stops were being timed. The timing system has been upgraded with timing chips. My stop was 2:18 helped by Sarah Sawyer F1 style bottle refilling. My Goring stop was 46th fastest and I had made a remarkable 11 positions up while people were faffing about in the village hall. The average time was 8:30 so I had made up 6 minutes here.

Graham Carter photo
I didn't think I was having a great day but I had managed to catch Ken Fancett coming out of Goring. We traded places on the way to North Stoke. Graham Carter and Peter Lemon were amongst those running the aid station. I had a top up on food with a few bits of fruit and some more tailwind. Ken left the aid station a few seconds before me.

Mark Thornberry/ GC Photo
The section to Swyncombe and back is my favourite of the race. I met doubleslammer Maria on this stretch. She was having some stomach troubles but making good progress.

One of the great things about the A100 is that you get to see the entire field including these incredible yellow shorts belonging to Mark Thornberry. Another quick stop at North Stoke and it was the stretch back to HQ. In 2015 I had made it back without using a headtorch but this year I needed it with 2 or 3 miles to go. That year I made it there in 8:47 but this year was 9:20. I had a fairly good pitstop with Sarah Sawyer helping me out. I thought Ironbru would help me out but unfortunately I hadn't opened it in advance so it exploded everywhere. This wouldn't have been so bad if Sarah hadn't kindly opened it for me and refilled my bottles.

Allie Bailey was waiting to pace Dan Barett and she gave me a bit of stick for changing out of my BBR vest. However it absolutely honked after 9 hours of sweaty running.  I was pretty much ready to go when Phil asked to tag along. Having company is particularly great on leg 3. He lent me a USB charger as mine failed so it almost makes up for me missing out on a top 50 time for Goring 2 Exit. I had made up 8 places as my leisurely 9:48 stop (including lovely pasta) was 8 minutes faster than the average of 18:15 and good for 59th fastest stop.

Ken Hughes photo
Ken Hughes photo
Leg 3 is basically 3 hills and the first one is a bit of a plod as witnessed by this action shot. Chain hill was very cool with some disco lights - a rapid stop here with just enough time to grab some of the amazing ginger cake. I had dropped down to 60th place which is one better than when I arrived at Goring.

I missed Lou Fraser at the outbound intermediate aid station but definitely made up for it on the way back with hugs and tea. Shortly after the aid station disaster struck. I had been a bit more adventurous on the food front and ended up decorating the Ridgeway. Maybe Irnbru wasn't such a good idea. I nursed myself back to Goring which was a shame as I was hoping to make the most of the downhills on this section.

Last stop at Goring and I took advantage of the pasta again. I think I caught up with Dave Kind on this stop. In and out in under 10 minutes and back in the top 50 for my stop (average was 17:23). I walked steadily out while Phil caught up. I can't remember when the rain set in for good but it might well have been by now. I had just under 8 hours to get a sub 24 buckle - this wasn't a slam dunk as I had taken 8 hours or longer in 2015 and 2016. The last leg is roughly 25.7 miles - you make up for the slightly short first leg.

My time goals had been somewhat downgraded. My goal now was for leg 4 not be an utter sh!tshow. A lot of time can be gained or lost on this leg. It is flat and really dull. Phil and I kept up a run/walk approach and after an eternity made it to the Welcome to Reading sign. A lot of people get excited by this sign but it is a bit like getting to West London when you have a flight from London Southend. It took another 45 minutes of slogging to get to the turnaround. 

The weather had really set in and it was some of the worst conditions I have ever experienced. Lon Las was probably the worst but had the advantage of being on roads. This was on increasingly boggy paths including a torrent near Tilehurst station. The fact the railway bridge makes it as the highlight of this leg tells it all. Another slog through Pangbourne meadow and it was starting to get light. It was amazing how many people still had their headtorches on full beam in the daylight.

There were a few more people to say hello to including the girls with matching stripy socks, the amazing Sandra Brown, and Dan Park the sweeper. We crossed paths just as I made it Whitchurch. A very quick stop here - I was going for peanut butter and jam wraps which are a good option when the sugar train derails. The last sting in the tail of the A100 is the rollercoaster last section.  Phil wasn't amused by the step section. Maybe if we all chip in, we can get a viaduct built to avoid this bit?

I had the bit between my teeth and sensed a sub 23 time. Some decent jogging (actually 12 minute miles) and I snuck under 23 alongside Phil. I was 33 minutes down on my 2015 time at halfway but had pulled it back to only being less than 20 at the end. Leg 4 was a pretty solid time considering the conditions and my stomach. A good exercise in damage limitation. The crap weather also encouraged me to speed up as more time running meant less time out on the rain.

Joint 66th place out of 235 with my best sections being 25m-37.5m, Goring entry to exit 1, Goring entry to exit 3, and Whitchurch to the finish. Worst was the two digestion impaired running sections between mile 62.5 to 79. 

I am pleased with the result despite my prior expectations. I have finally qualified for UTMB - I needed this race to get my points and I have been unlucky in the past 2 draws. I finished in under 23 hours in a race where a lot of people dropped and most people missed their time expectations. This race was one of those chocolate covered toffees that gets stuck in your teeth and takes longer than you think to finish.

I collected my buckle and t shirt. This was my 10th Centurion finish and my 10th race of 100 miles or more. It was great to sit in the hall afterwards and shake the hands of the newly minted grandslammers. I was in the same place in 2016 and it is great to sit there in the famous red top. There are some pretty special runners who have finished the GS and also some great runners who have failed to get there. 

A goodbye for 2018 to the wonderful team including Nici and Louise who were both looking fabulous, and a finishers photo with Stuart March.

And it was great to have the help and support of the Centurion volunteers.  I only spent 22 minutes in HQ compared with the average of 45 minutes! Sarah and Dave K can definitely take some credit for that as I would probably have missed out on sub 23 otherwise.

Stuart March photography
James Adams post race

Phil still wearing his headtorch

Friday, 28 September 2018

Centurion SDW100 2018 race report

Normally I am fairly quick to write up my race reports but this has been written 3 months late and with a race in between so it might be more historically inspired fiction rather than a detailed factual account. I know I saw someone I knew at every aid station that I recognised and saw a lot of people out on the course.

The South Downs Way 100 is exactly what it says on the tin - a race of approximately 100 miles along the South Downs Way.  I did it back in 2016 as leg 2 of the grand slam and had a good day finishing in 23:12. It was my favourite race of that year and I was looking forward to coming back.

I'm getting better at admin with 100 mile races - although you can't tell that from my pre-race photo. My nutrition plan A was to go down the gels/carb drinks route and I packed accordingly. I had my bag of mandatory kit and I was ready to go. 
There was a bit of a spanner in the pre-race plans. Normally I have a controlled taper with the last day being a bit of walking but nothing much. However today was the "global day of giving" at work. The entire company takes a day off work to do some good in the community. It is a fantastic day with a free gym session with a beer or three in the pub afterwards. However this isn't ideal preparation for a 100 mile race. To make matters worse, our job was changing the bark chippings of the playground at Hackney Park. There were two main tasks - shovelling the bark chips or transporting them in wheel barrows. I went for the wheel barrowing. I logged about 30,000 steps in my 6 hours of hard graft but I thought the shovelling could potentially have done some serious back/hamstring damage. 

We were let off at 4.30pm and I made my way to Winchester on the train. A quick taxi ride to the start and I checked in. I caught up with Graham and Louise on registration and watched the SDW1 - a lovely race for the kids. I had booked the holiday inn which I was convinced was walking distance from the start but it wasn't. I was half-tempted to walk there but ended up chatting to the traffic marshall and grim sweeper from Lon Las and decided this was a bad idea and called a taxi. £5 and 5 minutes later, I was safely checked into the Holiday Inn. It was a busy road and it would have been dangerous.

I was checked in and had the usual pre-race dinner of cheese and onion sandwich, cheese tasters, and can of lager. I watched a programme on the Kennet and Avon Canal (recce for the KACR145?). The next programme was Gardener's World. I deliberately watched it to numb my brain for a good night of sleep and it worked well.
I was up early and had been offered a lift by Bev Navesey as I hope not to walk in the morning. I was chatting to Paul McLeery in reception and we ended up being offered a lift by a fellow racer and her parents. She was pretty handy based on chats about having her kit checked post-race as she had won a prize. I don't know who she was but thanks for the lift!

I had pre-registerd so it was a case of dropping off drop bags and chatting to a few people. Last time, I was here at 3:50am but it was a bit more civilised this time. I caught with Paul Pickford and Tracey Centurionoholic Watson as they reported back on the massive stones that were in Phil Bradburn's trainers for the GUCR.

I also had a chat with the lovely Allie Bailey from the Bad Boy Running podcast. She takes her pre-race nutrition almost as seriously as I do.

The race starts with a lap of the field before heading off a bit later along the SDW. I saw Marco at the start - and quite a few others. I deliberately set off slowly. A lot people came past breathing remarkably hard for the start of a 100 mile race. I bumped into Frank who I work on the same street as. We had a catch up and compared notes on our races of the last year. Frank was having a few stomach problems with the heat so was going a bit slower than normal and I was happy to keep pace with him. 

We stopped losing places at about 5 miles and started to reel people in. First aid station was about 10 miles in and I got there in 1:40 so nice 10 minute miles. Despite this, I was in 142nd place... The Grim sweeper was on duty, and I was back on my way. A bit of melon and a top up of water and tailwind and I was on my way. The weather was really warming up. 

I had been consistently averaging 10 minute miles but I was hammering the downs but walking the ups (with little jogging breakings). I managed a section of 6 minute/mile on the way down Butser Hill which was great to loosen the legs and save the quads.

I picked up a few more places before coming into the QECP. Marco was on volunteer duties and he helped me on my way after a very quick chat. The heat was picking up so the shaded climb here was lovely. I had 4 hours as par for  a sub 24. I was about 5 minutes inside this so roughly on 23:30 pace but feeling well. I was here in 4:00 in 2016.

It is a quick section to Harting Down where Graham was on duties. 
Another hill and descent and it was Cocking aid station. There were lots of crews parked up and I had quick chat with Max and a few other people as I walked into the aid station. Sam Robson who finished sub 20 and 3 hours ahead of me at the 2016 was sat and struggling. It didn't look good for his race but he gutted it out (pun intended) for a sub 24. There was a tap after you leave the aid station and I took the opportunity to soak my head in the lovely cold water. I was here in 6:21:46 which was 4 seconds slower than 6:21:42 of 2016. Consistent....

I was up to 79th place - up from 142nd after 10 miles. It was getting really toasty and there was about 15 seconds of rain - it was quite humid at times. I shared some miles with various people - Paul PT was having a tough day when I came past him on one of the hills and I chatted with Paul Haynes and Henry and a few others.

Bignor Hill was Janette and Joe but it was a far from Janet and John style experience. Joe always seems to get mentioned post-race and would give you the shirt of his back if he thought it would help you finish the race (he has given away socks before). Joe was the Irish bloke wearing a kilt. A hug from Janette (I must have stank by this stage) and I was getting towards halfway. I was still on the sugar train with Tailwind and gels being complemented by biscuits and fruit.

Kithurst Hill was halfway and I was well under 10 hours (par for 24). Ian Lang was on duty and is easily recognisable by his GS100 tattoo on his chest. It was quite a warm day so I will let you off the clear volunteer uniform violation.

Onwards to the first drop bag at Washington. I caught up with the lovely Tim Cox and sadly saw Tom Sawyer call it a day here. It was a fairly quick change here. Clean clothes, chargers, headtorches etc. I had carried two headtorches with me from the start but switched to the big dog. I stopped for two bowls of lovely pasta and possibly a welsh cake or two.  The wonderful Louise Ayling was on the aid station if I remember correctly. I got here in 10:19 - about 10 minutes up on 2016.

It was a bit of a plod out of the aid station. I had been a bit greedy and was going to be digesting for an hour or two. I don't know if it was a good thing to take a break from the sugar train but I was going to have to take it easy for a bit.

I can't remember too much apart from the aid stations. Botolphs is a lay-by on a busy road and gets a mention in Vassos's book. Tim was here again and a quick chat and on my way up a very slow grind of a hill.

I met quite a few people out and about between Washington and the windmills. It is now 3 months ago that I'm writing things up. Simon Best was out supporting and I'm sure I gave Russell Banks an FYB! on this stretch. There was also some Gurkhas out training. They were running in a group and came past wearing just shorts. I moved out of the way assuming they would be flying but they were only a bit quicker. I managed to hold on to the back of the group and overtook one of them just before they stopped for some watermelon. This was a nice mental boost as I had 12 hours of running in my legs.

All of the aid stations are amazing but Saddlecombe is outstanding. They had espresso chocolate ball things which were superb. They have kept up the devil's aid station theme as the are 66.6 miles in. I filled my doggie bag with some extras for the road. In 2016, there was an aid station just a few miles from here but the windmills were being restored so it would be 10 miles to Housedean farm.
As always, it is a challenge to see how far I can get before needing to use a headtorch. Light was fading but it was a clear sky and I managed to get to Housedean aid station and the 76th mile before I need to use it. I had a quick drop bag stop here and had a quick chat with James Moore who I met at the Riddlesdown park run. This is in the shed of a farm and fairly basic but it reduces the risk of extended faffing. 

It is a long slog out of this aid station and it was almost dark now. At least I only had less than a marathon to go now. It was about 11:30pm by the time I arrived at Housedean. I made a lame joke about having to cross the bridge - it must get dull for the volunteers when the 200th runner comes through.

I only had 16 miles to go now and it was still Saturday. I gave myself the chance to have a lovely cup of tea made by Phil Bradburn. We had the briefest of chats about his recent GUCR finish and I was on my way. It is a really really long slog out this aid station. These aren't alpine ascents but a 175 metre high climb grinds on for a while. I bumped into Lee-Stuart Evans here. He was here to pace Allie Bailey and was lurking on the climb. It helped to pass the time as we spoke about his adventures on the Monarch's way which he had recently completed. The 600 and something mile Monarch's Way crosses the SDW near the start. He headed back down towards the aid station and I headed up into the hills.

I had a headlight which was rapidly gaining on me as I went up the hill. It was a single head torch so might have been a pacer trying to catch up to their runner. As the bright headtorch pulled alongside, it was a cyclist. In my head I said "cheating f***ing cyclist" except I didn't say it my head. Fortunately the mountain biker saw the funny side of it and we had a chat going up the hill. He had cycled from his home in Guildford that morning and had planned to stop a few hours earlier but had got caught up following the race. He got to the top of the climb and decided it was time for a kip so got his tent out and stopped for the night. I only had about 15 miles to go until my sleep time.

The next section was really tough in 2016. The sea fog had come in and navigation was tricky. However this year, the fog didn't come and it was fairly plain sailing to Alfriston. I took a somewhat extended stop here (still only 5 minutes or so) and had a quick chat with Drew and possibly Zoe? My crappy Petzl battery gave up the ghost here - it had managed about 2-3 hours or so. I should have changed to regular batteries but I just used my back-up torch.

It is quite a dispiriting climb out of Alfriston which went on for a good half hour. I traded places with a few people but generally I was one of the slowest coming through this section. I had a quick chat with Macca - he reckoned we were on for 21:40 which seemed to good to be true.

I skipped the Jevington aid station - I had a bit of drink and a gel or two so figured I would save the time and disruption to my rhythm. Up the final climb and I saw the trig point. It was still absolutely pitch black at this point. It had been dawn in 2016. A quick hello to the marshalls and time to get ready for "death gully". Judging by my watch, I might sneak under 22 hours.

The descent of "death gully" was quite amusing. I had picked up Henry Church and has pacer son on this section. They were absolutely flying down it. They had also gained an orphaned pacer who's runner had dropped. To add to the fun, the pacer didn't have a working headtorch so we were hacking it down a relatively sketchy bit of trail with 3 headtorches between 4 and mine wasn't the best.

Henry dropped me and the orphaned pacer so we made our way down with me lighting the way. This was a lot more fun than blister blighted hobble of 2016. I made it through to the road with almost all of it running. It was all a bit much for my stomach but the sugar train had last 98 miles. I got overtaken by someone as I was bent double which was annoying.

Last mile or so was through the outskirts of Eastbourne and I could see the glow of the stadium. Sub 22 was definitely happening and I might even a friend's time of 21:55 last year which I had been very impressed by. I had watched the video of the finish a few times but this time it was in the dark. Eventually the track emerged. I had a goal of finishing a Centurion 100 wearing a headtorch and I had done it. It is a stupid goal but normally when you look through the finish photos, it is all the good runners finishing in the dark (apart from the really really good runners who finish in daylight).

Once round the track and I collected my buckle and the celebratory press ups. I was done and dusted in 21:41 - a massive PB on a tough course. 
It was strange at the finish - normally it is packed with runners but the showers were empty and the place was quiet. I was 51st over the line and not too many people. The shower was really warm - normally it is getting cold by the time I cross the line.

I had a slight flaw with getting home - I had expected to finish and get the first train home but that didn't arrive so I got to lounge around for a few hours. I had tried to snooze in a corridor but I was still buzzing and my body was still confused. I had finished at 3:41am which is still the middle of the night. I caught up with Tim and Hammy and cheered a few more finishers over the line. #

I got a taxi to the station and picked up a cheese pasta salad for breakfast and bottle of fizzy water and made it home for just after 8am. 

A very good result - I am in the Western States draw again and just need one more race finish to get auto entry for UTMB. It had also gone as well as any 100 miler and I had been consistently running the flats and downhills all the way to the finish. James and the volunteers really make the race and while my Welsh experience from last year shows I can run 100 miles without the support, it is a hell of a lot more fun and quicker with the help of the Centurion army....

Saturday, 1 September 2018

KACR 145 - race analysis

I was curious to see how to see how my pacing compared with everyone else on the Kennet and Avon canal race. I felt I had started off with a measured pace and was going fairly well until the downpour at Henley. My best section was 60 to 86.5 where I had a buddy runner from roughly 66 to 78 or so.

I've pulled together a few stats to see how I did compare with everyone else. This involved hand typing the timing sheets so might be some typos in the raw data. I have done this for my own benefit but hopefully it will be interesting or useful. The pace stats might also be relevant for the GUCR.

- Drop out rates
- Cumulative splits
- Ranking at each checkpoint
- Incremental splits
- Rankings by section
- Average pace analysis
- Slow down rankings
- Grossed up splits

Drop out rates

Mile 27.2 60 86.5 102.6 145
Still in race 59 48 37 34 33
Drop prob 0.0% 18.6% 22.9% 8.1% 2.9%
Drop prob/mile 0.0000 0.0069 0.0070 0.0031 0.0018

Everyone made past the marathon point but then the drops started. My stats aren't 100% accurate as I don't know exactly when people dropped (e.g. at the checkpoint or shortly after). However it seems the vast majority happened between 27 and 85.6 and only one in the 43 miles. 

Cumulative splits by section

These are from the timing sheets posted on the KACR facebook page. It is worth having a look as each runner has an official observation made about them.

27.2 60 86.5 102.6 145
112fabio 3:43 8:54 14:13 17:54 28:49
106mich 4:06 10:33 16:20 20:20 30:10
48pete 4:12 11:08 17:35 21:25 31:20
2james 3:57 9:58 16:07 20:10 31:58
55stu 3:52 10:31 16:10 20:20 32:37
113wendy 4:39 11:08 17:20 21:20 32:46
3david 4:24 11:46 18:30 22:45 33:30
34helen 4:38 12:12 18:30 22:45 33:30
46darren 4:18 11:06 17:10 21:36 34:03
43chris 5:02 12:20 18:45 22:43 34:03
13james 4:12 11:37 18:23 22:55 35:17
25ian 4:24 12:14 19:13 23:40 35:22
53michael 5:13 12:31 20:17 24:58 35:55
108rhys 4:24 11:55 19:40 25:25 36:06
33andy 4:51 12:18 19:03 24:27 36:08
14natasha 4:30 11:35 18:23 22:55 36:25
5mark 4:25 12:11 19:37 24:28 36:48
47david 5:02 12:27 19:03 23:45 37:43
51rod 4:30 12:53 20:12 24:56 38:07
103phil 4:57 12:59 20:46 25:58 38:32
54carl 4:20 12:26 20:12 25:24 39:19
39grahame 5:10 13:13 21:05 26:32 40:52
4javed 5:17 14:56 24:09 28:16 41:16
9mark 4:39 12:37 20:17 24:50 41:40
10jan 5:34 13:50 21:53 27:08 42:27
21andy 5:27 14:34 24:52 29:23 42:42
50georgina 5:02 13:13 21:10 27:20 42:47
38allan 5:47 15:08 24:14 29:23 42:51
30fiona 5:27 14:20 23:15 28:34 43:17
52robert 5:27 14:20 23:15 28:34 43:17
1nicole 5:25 13:44 22:26 28:26 43:52
102ed 5:22 14:33 23:24 28:53 44:19
45bruce 4:51 13:40 22:39 28:25 44:31

Ranking by checkpoint

I made up places up until 102.6 and then I struggled on day 2. Michael and Rhys picked up massively on day 2...

27.2 60 86.5 102.6 145
112fabio 1 1 1 1 1
106mich 4 4 4 3 2
48pete 5 6 7 6 3
2james 3 2 2 2 4
55stu 2 3 3 3 5
113wendy 16 6 6 5 6
3david 9 10 10 9 7
34helen 15 13 10 9 7
46darren 7 5 5 7 9
43chris 21 16 12 8 9
13james 5 9 8 11 11
25ian 9 14 15 13 12
53michael 25 19 20 19 13
108rhys 9 11 17 21 14
33andy 18 15 13 15 15
14natasha 13 8 8 11 16
5mark 12 12 16 16 17
47david 21 18 13 14 18
51rod 13 21 18 18 19
103phil 20 22 22 22 20
54carl 8 17 18 20 21
39grahame 24 23 23 23 22
4javed 26 32 31 26 23
9mark 16 20 20 17 24
10jan 32 27 25 24 25
21andy 29 31 33 32 26
50georgina 21 23 24 25 27
38allan 33 33 32 32 28
30fiona 29 28 28 29 29
52robert 29 28 28 29 29
1nicole 28 26 26 28 31
102ed 27 30 30 31 32
45bruce 18 25 27 27 33

Incremental splits

27.2 60 86.5 102.6 145
112fabio 3:43 5:11 5:19 3:41 10:55
106mich 4:06 6:27 5:47 4:00 9:50
48pete 4:12 6:56 6:27 3:50 9:55
2james 3:57 6:01 6:09 4:03 11:48
55stu 3:52 6:39 5:39 4:10 12:17
113wendy 4:39 6:29 6:12 4:00 11:26
3david 4:24 7:22 6:44 4:15 10:45
34helen 4:38 7:34 6:18 4:15 10:45
46darren 4:18 6:48 6:04 4:26 12:27
43chris 5:02 7:18 6:25 3:58 11:20
13james 4:12 7:25 6:46 4:32 12:22
25ian 4:24 7:50 6:59 4:27 11:42
53michael 5:13 7:18 7:46 4:41 10:57
108rhys 4:24 7:31 7:45 5:45 10:41
33andy 4:51 7:27 6:45 5:24 11:41
14natasha 4:30 7:05 6:48 4:32 13:30
5mark 4:25 7:46 7:26 4:51 12:20
47david 5:02 7:25 6:36 4:42 13:58
51rod 4:30 8:23 7:19 4:44 13:11
103phil 4:57 8:02 7:47 5:12 12:34
54carl 4:20 8:06 7:46 5:12 13:55
39grahame 5:10 8:03 7:52 5:27 14:20
4javed 5:17 9:39 9:13 4:07 13:00
9mark 4:39 7:58 7:40 4:33 16:50
10jan 5:34 8:16 8:03 5:15 15:19
21andy 5:27 9:07 10:18 4:31 13:19
50georgina 5:02 8:11 7:57 6:10 15:27
38allan 5:47 9:21 9:06 5:09 13:28
30fiona 5:27 8:53 8:55 5:19 14:43
52robert 5:27 8:53 8:55 5:19 14:43
1nicole 5:25 8:19 8:42 6:00 15:26
102ed 5:22 9:11 8:51 5:29 15:26
45bruce 4:51 8:49 8:59 5:46 16:06

Ranking by section

My best section was 60 to 86.5. Worst was 102.6 to the end.

27.2 60 86.5 102.6 145
112fabio 1 1 1 1 6
106mich 4 3 3 5 1
48pete 5 7 9 2 2
2james 3 2 5 6 12
55stu 2 5 2 8 13
113wendy 16 4 6 4 9
3david 9 11 11 9 4
34helen 15 16 7 9 4
46darren 7 6 4 11 16
43chris 21 10 8 3 8
13james 5 13 13 14 15
25ian 9 18 15 12 11
53michael 25 9 20 17 7
108rhys 9 15 19 30 3
33andy 18 14 12 27 10
14natasha 13 8 14 14 22
5mark 12 17 17 20 14
47david 21 12 10 18 24
51rod 13 26 16 19 19
103phil 20 20 22 22 17
54carl 8 22 20 22 23
39grahame 24 21 23 28 25
4javed 26 33 32 7 18
9mark 16 19 18 16 33
10jan 32 24 25 24 28
21andy 29 30 33 13 20
50georgina 21 23 24 33 31
38allan 33 32 31 21 21
30fiona 29 28 28 25 26
52robert 29 28 28 25 26
1nicole 28 25 26 32 29
102ed 27 31 27 29 30
45bruce 18 27 30 31 32

Pace by section

Everyone ran the last third considerably slower than the first 27 miles. The fastest for the last section is roughly equal to brisk walking pace.

27.2 60 86.5 102.6 145
Top 11 0:09:26 0:12:20 0:13:58 0:15:18 0:15:56
Middle 11 0:10:23 0:14:07 0:16:38 0:18:37 0:17:51
Bottom 11 0:11:41 0:16:04 0:19:54 0:19:32 0:21:04
112fabio 0:08:12 0:09:29 0:12:02 0:13:44 0:15:27
106mich 0:09:03 0:11:48 0:13:06 0:14:54 0:13:55
48pete 0:09:16 0:12:41 0:14:36 0:14:17 0:14:02
2james 0:08:43 0:11:00 0:13:55 0:15:06 0:16:42
55stu 0:08:32 0:12:10 0:12:48 0:15:32 0:17:23
113wendy 0:10:15 0:11:52 0:14:02 0:14:54 0:16:11
3david 0:09:42 0:13:29 0:15:15 0:15:50 0:15:13
34helen 0:10:13 0:13:50 0:14:16 0:15:50 0:15:13
46darren 0:09:29 0:12:26 0:13:44 0:16:31 0:17:37
43chris 0:11:06 0:13:21 0:14:32 0:14:47 0:16:02
13james 0:09:16 0:13:34 0:15:19 0:16:54 0:17:30
25ian 0:09:42 0:14:20 0:15:49 0:16:35 0:16:33
53michael 0:11:30 0:13:21 0:17:35 0:17:27 0:15:30
108rhys 0:09:42 0:13:45 0:17:33 0:21:26 0:15:07
33andy 0:10:42 0:13:38 0:15:17 0:20:07 0:16:32
14natasha 0:09:56 0:12:57 0:15:24 0:16:54 0:19:06
5mark 0:09:45 0:14:12 0:16:50 0:18:04 0:17:27
47david 0:11:06 0:13:34 0:14:57 0:17:31 0:19:46
51rod 0:09:56 0:15:20 0:16:34 0:17:38 0:18:39
103phil 0:10:55 0:14:42 0:17:37 0:19:23 0:17:47
54carl 0:09:34 0:14:49 0:17:35 0:19:23 0:19:42
39grahame 0:11:24 0:14:44 0:17:49 0:20:19 0:20:17
4javed 0:11:39 0:17:39 0:20:52 0:15:20 0:18:24
9mark 0:10:15 0:14:34 0:17:22 0:16:57 0:23:49
10jan 0:12:17 0:15:07 0:18:14 0:19:34 0:21:40
21andy 0:12:01 0:16:41 0:23:19 0:16:50 0:18:51
50georgina 0:11:06 0:14:58 0:18:00 0:22:59 0:21:52
38allan 0:12:45 0:17:06 0:20:36 0:19:12 0:19:03
30fiona 0:12:01 0:16:15 0:20:11 0:19:49 0:20:50
52robert 0:12:01 0:16:15 0:20:11 0:19:49 0:20:50
1nicole 0:11:57 0:15:13 0:19:42 0:22:22 0:21:50
102ed 0:11:50 0:16:48 0:20:02 0:20:26 0:21:50
45bruce 0:10:42 0:16:08 0:20:20 0:21:29 0:22:47

Pace analysis

Halfway by time is roughly 84 miles compared with 72.5 miles by distance.

27.2 60 86.5 102.6 145
Top 11 4:16 11:01 17:11 21:17 32:33
Middle 11 4:42 12:25 19:46 24:46 37:23
Bottom 11 5:18 14:05 22:52 28:06 42:59

Top 11





Middle 11 12.6% 33.2% 52.9% 66.2% 100.0%
Bottom 11 12.3% 32.8% 53.2% 65.4% 100.0%
Pro-rata 18.8% 41.4% 59.7% 70.8% 100.0%

Slow down rankings

Ratio of pace in first 27 miles to last 45 miles. The range is massive. Michael wins - he overtook me at the 116 checkpoint and finished 1:40 ahead of me looking very strong.

Ratio Rank
53michael 1.35 1
43chris 1.44 2
34helen 1.49 3
38allan 1.49 4
48pete 1.51 5
106mich 1.54 6
33andy 1.55 7
108rhys 1.56 8
3david 1.57 9
21andy 1.57 10
113wendy 1.58 11
4javed 1.58 12
103phil 1.63 13
25ian 1.71 14
30fiona 1.73 15
52robert 1.73 15
10jan 1.77 17
39grahame 1.78 18
47david 1.78 19
5mark 1.79 20
1nicole 1.83 21
102ed 1.84 22
46darren 1.86 23
51rod 1.88 24
112fabio 1.88 25
13james 1.89 26
2james 1.92 27
14natasha 1.92 28
50georgina 1.97 29
55stu 2.04 30
54carl 2.06 31
45bruce 2.13 32
9mark 2.32 33

Grossed up incremental splits

The 27 to 60 miles section is roughly 20% on average so if you took 8 hours to do it, you would get 8 / 20% = 40 hours in the 60 mile column. It shows which part of the race which went well and badly. Phil B had very even splits relative to the field with a bit of a pick up for the last third.
27.2 60 86.5 102.6 145
112fabio 29:23 25:10 26:55 29:00 31:48
106mich 32:25 31:20 29:17 31:30 28:38
48pete 33:12 33:41 32:39 30:11 28:53
2james 31:13 29:13 31:08 31:53 34:22
55stu 30:34 32:18 28:36 32:48 35:47
113wendy 36:46 31:29 31:23 31:30 33:18
3david 34:47 35:47 34:06 33:28 31:19
34helen 36:38 36:45 31:54 33:28 31:19
46darren 34:00 33:02 30:43 34:54 36:16
43chris 39:47 35:27 32:29 31:14 33:01
13james 33:12 36:01 34:16 35:42 36:01
25ian 34:47 38:03 35:22 35:02 34:05
53michael 41:14 35:27 39:20 36:52 31:54
108rhys 34:47 36:31 39:14 45:16 31:07
33andy 38:20 36:11 34:11 42:31 34:02
14natasha 35:34 34:24 34:26 35:42 39:19
5mark 34:55 37:43 37:38 38:11 35:55
47david 39:47 36:01 33:25 37:00 40:41
51rod 35:34 40:43 37:03 37:16 38:24
103phil 39:08 39:01 39:25 40:57 36:36
54carl 34:15 39:21 39:20 40:57 40:32
39grahame 40:51 39:06 39:50 42:55 41:45
4javed 41:46 46:52 46:40 32:25 37:52
9mark 36:46 38:42 38:49 35:49 49:02
10jan 44:00 40:09 40:46 41:20 44:37
21andy 43:05 44:17 52:09 35:34 38:47
50georgina 39:47 39:45 40:15 48:33 45:00
38allan 45:43 45:25 46:05 40:33 39:13
30fiona 43:05 43:09 45:09 41:52 42:52
52robert 43:05 43:09 45:09 41:52 42:52
1nicole 42:49 40:24 44:03 47:15 44:57
102ed 42:26 44:36 44:49 43:10 44:57
45bruce 38:20 42:49 45:29 45:24 46:54